Which is winning the battle between the two rising economic stars?
It's  been a close battle between Asia's two rising economic stars -- Philippines and  Indonesia.
At first, Indonesia was edging ahead with its  two investment grade status from Fitch Ratings in December 2011 and Moody's in  January 2012.
But slowly and surely, the Philippines has  crept up from behind, achieving its first investment grade rating from Fitch  Ratings on March 27, and now its second from Standard and Poor's on May 2.
Philippines and Indonesia both have two investment grades from different credit rating agencies. Graphic by Matthew Hebrona/Rappler
Both countries, which are considered Asia's new  tigers have been demonstrating strong economic growth against a sluggish global  economy, almost catching up with Asia's other economic powerhouses, China and  India.
So the tallies are even, but which one is  really winning?
GDP  growth
In terms of GDP growth, the Philippines has  emerged a winner with a 2012 GDP faster rate of 6.6%.
Indonesia, on the other hand, saw its economy  slow down after the government failed to reduce subsidies, which drained the government's  finances, hurting the rupiah, resulting in lower foreign investor confidence.  Indonesia grew at 6.23%.
On Monday May 6, Indonesia reported a first  quarter 2013 growth of 6.02%, the slowest pace in more than two years. The  Philippines is due to announce their first quarter results on May 30.
In the 3rd quarter of 2012, the Philippines  recorded a growth of 7.1%, replacing Indonesia as the second-fastest in Asia  next to China's 7.7% and the fastest in Southeast Asia. Indonesia, which  dropped down to 3rd position, registered a growth of 6.2%.
The year 2012 saw a turning of tables for the  Philippines. In 2011, the Philippines expansion of 3.9% was well below  Indonesia's growth rate of 6.5% in 2011.
Aquino  vs Bambang Yudhoyono
The promises of Presidents Susilo Bambang  Yudhoyono in Indonesia and Benigno Aquino III in the Philippines to fight  corruption, lower budget deficits, and bring in investment has won them both  upgrades from Fitch Ratings and Moody's Investors Service in the past year.
Philippine President Aquino, who is halfway  through a 6-year term, has been successful in increasing state spending and  managing the budget deficit, while seeking more than $17 billion of  infrastructure investments to spur growths.
The country's budget deficit has been brought  down to 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) by 2012 from 3.9% when he took  office in 2010. Aquino has also increased tax collections, passed the  controversial sin tax law amendments, and ousted former Chief Justice Renato  Corona in 2012 for illegally concealing his wealth.
Indonesian President Bambang Yudhoyono, who is  in his final year in office, failed in 2012 to cut fuel subsidies, which have  drained the government finances. This means the government has to find more funds  to allocate to infrastructure spending.
According to the World Bank, the President  Yudhoyono has said that his government is weighing the pros and cons of raising  fuel prices or choosing another method that would more effectively target the  subsidies at poorer consumers in a nation where almost one in 5 people lives on  less than $1.25 a day.
Foreign  investments
In this arena, Indonesia has the lead. The  country has been attracting the second biggest chunk of foreign direct  investments - $19.2 billion in 2012 - flowing into Southeast Asia, next to  Singapore's $54 billion.
The Philippines on the other hand has remained  a laggard, capturing only $1.5 billion in 2012.
Corruption  Perceptions
The Philippines has the lead and is now seen as  less corrupt than Indonesia. The Transparency International's Corruption  Perceptions Index has boosted the Philippines' ranking to 105th place in 2012  from 139th in 2009, a year before Aquino became president.
Indonesia on the other hand was ranked 118th  last year, slipping from 111th three years earlier.
As both rising stars diverge in their economic  growth, it remains to be seen who will emerge the clear winner.
Investment  destinations
To fund managers, however, both investment  destinations remain attractive, and some don't even have to choose between the  two.
Amid the economic woes, belt-tightening  measures, gloomy outlook and credit rating downgrades in the west, most  investment funds on the lookout for solid growth are eastward-bound.
A global fund manager told Rappler that the  competition for investors' attention is not between Indonesia and the  Philippines, but against other emerging economies in other regions, like  Eastern Europe and South America. - with research from Ramon Calzado and Lean  Santos




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